According to @Andre_Dragosch, the shared model shows the average BTC path after the Relative Strength Index drops below 30 at t=0, with price action so far closely tracking the historical trajectory, which is relevant for timing entries after oversold conditions and managing risk during recoveries; Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, citing @BittelJulien and GMI. According to @Andre_Dragosch, the view presented rejects the traditional 4-year Bitcoin cycle, arguing the cycle has been broken and likely extends well into 2026 based on business cycle work, current financial conditions, and expected liquidity, which supports a medium-term bullish bias; Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, citing @BittelJulien and GMI. According to @Andre_Dragosch, the rationale ties the prior 4-year rhythm to the public debt refinancing cycle rather than the halving, noting an increase in the weighted average maturity of the debt structure and large interest expense needing monetization as structural liquidity drivers, which is constructive for BTC risk allocation; Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, citing @BittelJulien and GMI. According to @Andre_Dragosch, traders should expect base-building with choppy ranges before a larger up-move, favoring a disciplined accumulation approach and patience, aligning with the “stay humble and stack sats” mindset for DCA and position adds on dips; Source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, citing @BittelJulien and GMI.